Crown Fire Probability
Derived from WildEST fire behavior modeling
Where are crown fires most likely? This dataset highlights the probability of canopy-driven fire across the U.S. under a full range of weather conditions.
About this dataset
This dataset maps the probability of crown fire across the contiguous United States under a full range of historical weather conditions, as modeled by WildEST. Values range from 0–1, representing the likelihood that a given location will experience either group torching (mid- to high-grade passive crown fire) or sustained canopy spread (active crown fire) if a wildfire occurs. Probabilities are weighted by weather frequency and fire-carrying ability.
What’s included in this dataset
How to interpret this layer
Continuous values from 0–1 indicating the likelihood that, if a wildfire occurs, conditions at that location would support passive or active crown fire behavior.
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To dive deeper into the methods, context, and example applications behind this dataset, explore the full VPDC Data Story that accompanies it.
See the full Data Story ⭢How to get Started:
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Crown Fire Probability
Where are crown fires most likely? This dataset highlights the probability of canopy-driven fire across the U.S. under a full range of weather conditions.
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Get hands-on access to this dataset using interactive notebooks. Choose between the Google Colab notebook for quick exploration in your browser or access the hosted Jupyter Notebooks via Binder or GitHub for more advanced workflows.
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GitHub hosted Jupyter Notebooks
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Access the full collection of Jupyter Notebooks hosted on GitHub. These notebooks can be used on your local machine or via cloud platforms like Binder or Google Colaboratory, providing flexibility for more advanced customizations.
Licensing & Attribution
Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution–NonCommercial–ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0).
You may share and adapt this dataset for noncommercial purposes with attribution under the same license.
Required Attribution:
© 2025 Pyrologix, a Vibrant Planet company. Distributed by Vibrant Planet Data Commons. Licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
For commercial or special-use requests, email us at contact@vpdatacommons.org
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